Chapter 11 PlanningMany operating companies in a liquidity crisis have been unable, in the current economy and credit environment, to refinance debt and/or meet working capital needs. The affect trickles down as payables get stretched and greater risk is assumed with critical vendors. Troubled businesses have and are struggling to raise financing for turnaround initiatives or to continue same. Traditional restructurings under the Chapter 11 process have been difficult, with section 363 sales and liquidations more prevalent during the last three years. In the last 12-18 months Chapter 11 filing activity has been lower than expected, and in the current market there have been more out of court restructuring solutions and pre-packaged or pre-negotiated bankruptcies, along with forced liquidations and foreclosures.2009 Chapter 11 filings reached record levels due to tight credit markets, decreased consumer spending, higher unemployment and lower consumer confidence. In spring 2010 improved credit markets and “amend and extend” actions produced fewer Chapter 11 filings. A recent Bank of America Merrill Lynch report said that 60% of proceeds from US high-yield bond issuance were used to refinance existing debt to alleviate liquidity pressures. These refinancings have not “fixed’ companies operating problems, rather they have moved the problem to the future. Therefore, the US corporate-default rate is expected to drop to 4%-5% by end of 2010 versus 13.7% in 2009.Traditional Chapter 11 reorganizations remain relatively low due to continued tight credit markets and scarcity of refinancing or debtor-in-possession financing opportunities. Borrowers and lenders have turned to out-of-court restructuring and liquidation solutions, including UCC Article 9 sales, assignment proceedings and receiverships; and Chapter 11 filings on a pre-packaged or pre-negotiated basis, to save time and cost. Recently the only entities typically able or willing to supply DIP financing are debtor’s pre-petition lenders and acquirers in section 363 transactions. Traditional Chapter 11 Planning Nonetheless there remains a place for traditional Chapter 11 restructurings if all parties agree with the goals/plans and particularly if use of cash collateral can be utilized. To do so require intense advance planning, careful determination of timing of disbursements related to a filing and marshalling of resources to fund cash requirements. Debtors seeking to determine how best to deal with a liquidity crisis should carefully review their actual and planned cash flow details and seek the advice of both qualified bankruptcy counsel and turnaround advisors.Chp 11 Planning – Timing
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Last Updated (Friday, 08 October 2010 08:15) |
Brand Strength
Brand Strength
The March issue of Sporting Goods Business features SOS Research's 2010 Brand Strength Report. The report finds several attributes (innovation, quality, marketing, etc.) all playing a role in establishing a brand's strength in consumers' eyes. But, the drivers differ for each brand and the way brands communicate with consumers continues to change in today's fast-paced, digital world.
Question:
What attributes of a brand do you believe are the most important when assessing brand strength with the consumer?
One Response:
In any era successful brands have been created, grown and sustained irrespective of the economic, demographic and psychographic audience in which they play. Recognizable brands are in one’s mind, following from the business elements that created that top of mind brand awareness. Great brands are customer-centric. Great brands reflect value (quality/price/service), continuous positive recognition and a sustainable financial model. Importantly, the developers of great brands followed a principle, that “all cues must be consistent”, creating a visual image in the minds of the consumer and observer of what that brand is, what it looks, smells, tastes or feels like and why it is desirable.
Last Updated (Monday, 15 March 2010 16:15) Where to find New Opportunities – Look, Listen, Learn
Where to find New Opportunities – Look, Listen, Learn
Many researchers and demographers believe that U.S. consumption has reached maturity and certain economic factors are likely to support a future of reasonable consumption, incurred debt and savings levels. The “Baby Boom” population burst and related consumption of these folks as they reached peak earning periods of their lives, supported by easy credit and inflated real estate values, is unlikely to occur again for many years.
Fortunately many of our corporations have survived and are likely to be sustainable entities (and that is not to imply the same future of those bailed out as “too big to fail”). Our corporations have finally taken actions that were inspired by fear. They cut costs and continue to do so. They slashed excess inventory. They reined in wasteful capex and began to manage for positive cash flow and to de-leverage their balance sheets. Non performing assets have been sold or otherwise shut down. Corporations began to go-global for revenue growth in some countries that may be at the lead-point of their economic development. These actions were long overdue, yet the impact in the U.S. may not be all that beneficial to our citizens:
· Employment has been reduced;
· Jobs have been outsourced and replaced by technology’
· Capex and development capital has been directed outside the U.S.;
· Consumer spending has been de-railed, perhaps forever;
· Tax revenues have been reduced, leading to unpopular cuts to services and the prospect of higher and new taxes, federal, state and local;
· Government has continued to grow as a percent of our total economy, yet government has not done what our corporations have done by slashing costs and reducing losses (e.g., US Postal Service)
Now, our corporations have a reborn challenge that is “how to grow revenues domestically and globally”, how to develop new products and services that meet the needs and pocketbook of the “new American consumer”. To do so requires that our corporate leadership invest in research, listen to real consumers, and watch behavior of people that visit and patronize the traffic-central retailers of 2010:
· Staples, Office Depot, Office Max
· Wal Mart, Target, Kmart
· Best Buy, GameStop
· Dollar General, Family Dollar and other dollar stores
· Walgreen, CVS. Rite Aid
· Grocery and convenience stores from the high end to the lower-moderate positioned players
· FedEx/Kinko’s and UPS
We MUST observe what they buy, what they spend, and what innovative behaviors they embrace to maintain their lives within their financial constraints. We MUST test, partner and lead to develop new products, new services, new sources of revenue and new jobs.
What Causes Many Business Failures
What Causes Many Business Failures
· Management in denial – hope business will improve, cannot admit failure
· Me-too Boards (support CEO, contribute little of substance and often not asked)
· Illusionary reporting – not focused on right, actionable numbers, limited or no focus on cash flow and the future
· Too much debt, limited disclosure of debt service needs in context of cash flow and liquidation value of assets
· Assumption that landlord or government paid capex is free money – in fact it gets paid back through higher overhead. “Free-money” is too-often the vehicle for growth as distressed businesses attempt to grow and spend their way out of trouble
· Lack cash flow management on daily, weekly, rolling 13 week basis
· Lack detailed business/financial plan scenarios and tracking to worst-case scenario
· Do not get and stay lean while being mean (must focus on top line too, the customer and technology to build loyalty and brand)
· Fail to use outside, objective, unbiased, independent business assessment and appraisal services and also to vet plans
· Communication – must listen to associates, customers, vendors, competitors and communicate openly and objectively with key management and associates
· Talent – must attract and retain best affordable talent and people that take action and not just “say yes”
· Management must be willing to put skin in the game take whatever actions are required for survival
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